{"id":11531,"date":"2026-08-18T16:48:06","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T09:48:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/?p=11531"},"modified":"2026-08-18T16:48:06","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T09:48:06","slug":"el-nino-manh-co-the-khien-2027-tro-thanh-nam-nong-nhat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/?p=11531","title":{"rendered":"El Nino m\u1ea1nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn 2027 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh n\u0103m n\u00f3ng nh\u1ea5t"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\nEl Nino m\u1ea1nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn 2027 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh n\u0103m n\u00f3ng nh\u1ea5t <\/h1>\n

Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00ed h\u1eadu \u1edf Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng n\u0103m nay m\u1ea1nh ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3 s\u1ebd k\u00e9o theo nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn 2027 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh n\u0103m n\u00f3ng nh\u1ea5t t\u1eebng ghi nh\u1eadn.<\/p>\n

Theo Nature<\/em>, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00ed h\u1eadu El Nino \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u1edf Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t trong 150 n\u0103m qua.<\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean trang The Climate Brink<\/em>, Zeke Hausfather, nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc kh\u00ed h\u1eadu t\u1ea1i t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Berkeley Earth, cho bi\u1ebft nhi\u1ec1u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00ed h\u1eadu \u0111ang d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t El Nino n\u0103m nay c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecf xa k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. \u01af\u1edbc t\u00ednh nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t bi\u1ec3n cao nh\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd h\u01a1n kho\u1ea3ng 0,8\u00b0C so v\u1edbi k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2015-2016. K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu, n\u0103m sau nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 trung b\u00ecnh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng 1,7 \u0111\u1ed9 C so v\u1edbi th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 ti\u1ec1n c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, v\u01b0\u1ee3t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng cam k\u1ebft theo Th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn Paris v\u1ec1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu. Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00f2n c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e1i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu s\u1ebd l\u00e0m nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh ngay trong v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn 2026 th\u00e0nh n\u0103m n\u00f3ng k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n

\n
\n<\/div>
\n

D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00f4ng kh\u00ed trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 6 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 8 c\u1ee7a WMO v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf ch\u1ec9 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 cao h\u01a1n th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng. \u1ea2nh:WMO<\/em><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Trong d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u0103ng t\u1ea3i ng\u00e0y 20\/7, C\u01a1 quan Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd Kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng Qu\u1ed1c gia M\u1ef9 (NOAA) nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00f3 80% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t El Nino v\u00e0o nh\u00f3m m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed s\u1ebd h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh t\u1eeb nay \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m v\u00e0 s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n \u00edt nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 4\/2027.<\/p>\n

“Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi ph\u1ea3i coi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u1eddi c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o kh\u00ed h\u1eadu kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p. Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Nino s\u1ebd l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u00f3ng l\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u”, T\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd Li\u00ean H\u1ee3p Qu\u1ed1c Ant\u00f3nio Guterres cho bi\u1ebft trong m\u1ed9t tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 video h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 6.<\/p>\n

Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a ENSO n\u0103m nay, xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ec9 hai n\u0103m sau \u0111\u1ee3t g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng trong chu k\u1ef3, theo h\u01b0\u1edbng El Nino ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng do bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu, theo Kaustubh Thirumalai, nh\u00e0 c\u1ed5 kh\u00ed h\u1eadu h\u1ecdc nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u ENSO t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Arizona (M\u1ef9).<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t n\u1eafng n\u00f3ng, h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n, l\u0169 l\u1ee5t v\u00e0 ch\u00e1y r\u1eebng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd g\u00e2y ra nh\u1eefng h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 kinh t\u1ebf. Nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft do pha n\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a ENSO n\u0103m 1997-1998 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u suy gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 5,7 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 USD trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m sau \u0111\u00f3, theo \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Justin Mankin, nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u kh\u00ed h\u1eadu t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Dartmouth (M\u1ef9) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean Science<\/em>.<\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7n nay s\u00e1t v\u1edbi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, \u0111\u1ee3t El Nino hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra “10 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 USD thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2032”, theo Mankin. Ngo\u00e0i ra, s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u00f2n g\u00e2y s\u1ee9c \u00e9p l\u00ean c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 sinh th\u00e1i v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng, l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m l\u01b0\u1ee3ng carbon r\u00f2ng m\u00e0 ch\u00fang h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 t\u1eeb kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n

Theo World Resources Institute<\/em>, nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ee3t n\u00f3ng \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t g\u00e2y h\u1ea1i cho c\u00e1c th\u1ea3m c\u1ecf bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 r\u1eebng t\u1ea3o b\u1eb9, l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng v\u00e0 b\u1ec7nh t\u1eadt trong nu\u00f4i tr\u1ed3ng th\u1ee7y s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i qu\u1ea7n th\u1ec3 sinh v\u1eadt ph\u00f9 du v\u00e0 c\u00e1. C\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n El Nino m\u1ea1nh trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9, bao g\u1ed3m 1997-1998 v\u00e0 2015-2016, \u0111\u00e3 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u1ea9y tr\u1eafng san h\u00f4 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn, l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 sinh th\u00e1i h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ngh\u1ec1 c\u00e1, du l\u1ecbch v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng, nh\u1eefng c\u00fa s\u1ed1c sinh th\u00e1i n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn thu nh\u1eadp c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ven bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea3o. El Nino m\u1ea1nh k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 l\u00e0m m\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh sinh k\u1ebf c\u1ee7a h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ee9c \u0103n, vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m.<\/p>\n

WRI <\/em>c\u0169ng l\u01b0u \u00fd xung \u0111\u1ed9t gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran, g\u00e2y gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t El Nino s\u1eafp t\u1edbi. Nh\u1eefng khu v\u1ef1c c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu k\u00e9m, v\u1ed1n \u0111ang b\u1ecb \u00e1p l\u1ef1c v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c khi x\u1ea3y ra h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft c\u1ef1c \u0111oan.<\/p>\n

Theo Reuters<\/em>, hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng g\u00e2y h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 khu v\u1ef1c ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0 m\u01b0a l\u1edbn \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 khu v\u1ef1c Nam M\u1ef9, \u0111e d\u1ecda m\u00f9a m\u00e0ng v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n cung l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c. C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00ec c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh chi m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn thu nh\u1eadp cho th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m v\u00e0 n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, do \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t trong th\u1eddi gian h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

“El Nino khi\u1ebfn cho l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf n\u00ean dai d\u1eb3ng h\u01a1n, v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia Nam \u00c1 b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t nh\u01b0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Indonesia, Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Th\u00e1i Lan”, Gary Tan, nh\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu t\u1ea1i Allspring Global Investments, cho bi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n

El Nino l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ENSO – nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 gi\u00f3 \u1edf Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i gi\u1eefa El Nino n\u00f3ng v\u00e0 La Nina l\u1ea1nh theo chu k\u1ef3 2-7 n\u0103m. \u0110\u1ee3t El Nino g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t di\u1ec5n ra trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2023-2024.<\/p>\n

Nam Nguy\u1ec5n<\/strong> t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p<\/em><\/p>\n

\n
    \n
  • Nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c trong th\u00e1ng 6<\/li>\n
  • V\u00f2m nhi\u1ec7t bi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u00e0nh ch\u1ea3o l\u1eeda<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n
      \n
    • Nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c trong th\u00e1ng 6<\/li>\n
    • V\u00f2m nhi\u1ec7t bi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u00e0nh ch\u1ea3o l\u1eeda<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/article>\n
      \n

      https:\/\/vnexpress.net\/el-nino-manh-co-the-khien-2027-tro-thanh-nam-nong-nhat-5102163.html<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      El Nino m\u1ea1nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn 2027 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh n\u0103m n\u00f3ng nh\u1ea5t Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00ed h\u1eadu \u1edf Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng n\u0103m nay m\u1ea1nh ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3 s\u1ebd k\u00e9o theo nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn 2027 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh n\u0103m n\u00f3ng nh\u1ea5t t\u1eebng ghi nh\u1eadn. Theo Nature, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00ed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11532,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cong-nghe"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11531","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11531"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11531\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11532"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}