{"id":8025,"date":"2026-08-02T00:17:56","date_gmt":"2026-08-01T17:17:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/?p=8025"},"modified":"2026-08-02T00:17:56","modified_gmt":"2026-08-01T17:17:56","slug":"ly-do-gia-dau-khong-tang-manh-du-xung-dot-trung-dong-leo-thang","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/?p=8025","title":{"rendered":"L\u00fd do gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh d\u00f9 xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng leo thang"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\nL\u00fd do gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh d\u00f9 xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng leo thang <\/h1>\n

B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng Trung \u0110\u00f4ng leo thang, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u ch\u1ec9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0i USD do th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ea7n th\u00edch \u1ee9ng, ngu\u1ed3n cung t\u0103ng c\u00f2n nhu c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

M\u1edf c\u1eeda phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch 13\/7, c\u1ea3 d\u1ea7u Brent v\u00e0 WTI hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec1u t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 4%. M\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng Brent c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 78,7 USD, trong khi WTI l\u00e0 74 USD. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i l\u00ean khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng leo thang tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n qua.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, ngay c\u1ea3 khi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran leo thang tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt. Trong khi, h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 5, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u1eebng c\u00f3 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u01b0\u1ee3t 110 USD m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng.<\/p>\n

L\u00fd gi\u1ea3i nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n, \u00f4ng Jim Burkhard, Ph\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch ki\u00eam Tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 t\u1ea1i S&P Global Energy, \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng x\u00e1m – \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n g\u00e2y s\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

“N\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0i USD nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec x\u1ea3y ra c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y v\u00e0i ng\u00e0y, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i c\u00fa s\u1ed1c nh\u01b0 h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 3, khi Iran l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng ngh\u0129 t\u1edbi (phong t\u1ecfa ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz)”, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n

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Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent (USD\/th\u00f9ng) t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn nay. Ngu\u1ed3n: OilPrice<\/em><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u t\u1eeb Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0a ra th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1eabn c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1eb1ng nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e1ch. Theo th\u00f4ng tin c\u1ee7a AP<\/em>, d\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh, bao g\u1ed3m \u0111i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u00e0 c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00f2ng kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 14 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y. D\u00f9 v\u1eabn th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u00e0 20 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Tamas Varga, chuy\u00ean gia ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a PVM Oil Associates, c\u0169ng cho r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ea7n th\u00edch nghi hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. Theo t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00e3 d\u00f9ng nh\u1eefng tuy\u1ebfn xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u thay th\u1ebf, c\u00e1c chuy\u1ebfn v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n b\u00ed m\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ee9c thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 12,2 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Song song, nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ngo\u00e0i v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, M\u1ef9 x\u1ea3 kho d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef v\u00e0 mi\u1ec5n tr\u1eeb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t v\u1edbi d\u1ea7u Nga v\u00e0 Iran, gi\u00fap b\u1ed5 sung th\u00eam 9,1 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng, \u0111\u01b0a thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf xu\u1ed1ng ch\u1ec9 kho\u1ea3ng 3,1 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi l\u1ea1i \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m ti\u00eau th\u1ee5. “M\u1ed9t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, nh\u01b0ng nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00fang th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n”, \u00f4ng Jim Burkhard, n\u00f3i. Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00e2u \u00c1, khu v\u1ef1c ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o ngu\u1ed3n d\u1ea7u t\u1eeb Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, mua \u00edt \u0111i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/p>\n

Trong \u0111\u00f3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u. Theo \u00f4ng Burkhard, n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh mua d\u1ea7u t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf khi gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng trong m\u00f9a xu\u00e2n, khi\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n 6 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng ING (H\u00e0 Lan) cho bi\u1ebft nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 30% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 2025. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u theo d\u00f5i t\u00e0u cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u th\u00e1ng 6 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n gi\u1ea3m h\u01a1n n\u1eefa. “S\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 khi n\u00e0o Trung Qu\u1ed1c mua d\u1ea7u tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. Vi\u1ec7c v\u1eafng m\u1eb7t k\u00e9o d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3”, nh\u00f3m chuy\u00ean gia ING, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

Theo \u00f4ng Daniel Sternoff, nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean cao c\u1ea5p t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng To\u00e0n c\u1ea7u thu\u1ed9c \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Columbia, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 th\u00eam \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u cho giao th\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng d\u00f9ng xe \u0111i\u1ec7n th\u1eddi gian qua.<\/p>\n

“Theo nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang t\u00f4i ghi nh\u1eadn t\u1eeb khi cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u, nhu c\u1ea7u x\u0103ng v\u00e0 d\u1ea7u diesel c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u01b0\u1edbc gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 500.000 \u0111\u1ebfn 600.000 th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 con s\u1ed1 r\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3”, \u00f4ng Sternoff, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

Theo d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a C\u01a1 quan N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IEA), nhu c\u1ea7u d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean suy gi\u1ea3m k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch n\u0103m 2020, \u1edf m\u1ee9c m\u1ed9t tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y. B\u00e0 Toril Bosoni, Tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a IEA, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quay l\u1ea1i tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i d\u01b0 cung s\u1edbm nh\u1ea5t cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay, do c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ngo\u00e0i v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n

“\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt \u00e1p l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng l\u1ea1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef”, b\u00e0 n\u00f3i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, IEA c\u0169ng l\u01b0u \u00fd d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o d\u01b0 cung v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay c\u00f2n ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0u l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u qua eo bi\u1ec3n s\u1ebd d\u1ea7n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c m\u1ecf v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y l\u1ecdc d\u1ea7u. B\u00e0 Toril Bosoni th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i “nhanh ch\u00f3ng ho\u1eb7c tuy\u1ebfn t\u00ednh” v\u00ec “t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh r\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n”.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u00eam b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, ING d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent trung b\u00ecnh \u1edf m\u1ee9c 80 USD m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng trong qu\u00fd III v\u00e0 74 USD m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng v\u00e0o qu\u00fd IV.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Jim Burkhard t\u1ea1i S&P Global Energy l\u01b0u \u00fd cu\u1ed9c gi\u1eb1ng co ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t eo bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a k\u1ebft th\u00fac, khi\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c l\u1ea1i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n tuy\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i qua Hormuz c\u00f2n th\u1ea5p. “T\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz c\u00f3 l\u1ebd hi\u1ec7n c\u00f2n b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u”, \u00f4ng b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n

Phi\u00ean An <\/strong>(theo AP, CNBC, ING<\/em>)<\/p>\n<\/article>\n

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https:\/\/vnexpress.net\/ly-do-gia-dau-khong-tang-manh-du-xung-dot-trung-dong-leo-thang-5096738.html<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u00fd do gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh d\u00f9 xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng leo thang B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng Trung \u0110\u00f4ng leo thang, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u ch\u1ec9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0i USD do th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ea7n th\u00edch \u1ee9ng, ngu\u1ed3n cung t\u0103ng c\u00f2n nhu c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m. M\u1edf c\u1eeda phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch 13\/7, c\u1ea3 d\u1ea7u Brent v\u00e0 WTI hi\u1ec7n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8026,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8025","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-thi-truong"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8025","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8025"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8025\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8026"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8025"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8025"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/useful.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8025"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}